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Tuesday, July 25, 2017

The Yanks Shouldn't Trade Florial

This morning (PST), social media has the usual suspects claiming the Yanks are closing in on the momentarily and massively oveerrated Sonny Gray, and that the A's are willing to accept Estevan Florial. How kind of them. Any team getting a 5 tool OF like Florial for a non-ace starter like Sonny Gray should be doing back flips. This is particularly troubling for the Yanks because, after trading Rutherford for a curious package of players they'd  previously dismissed, the OF cupboard is BARE after any Florial trade. They have no tooled up and productive OF's below Charleston. And this guy has a pretty good shot at eventually being an all-star for the Yanks and his power is lefty. Just a hideous error instead of the smart play of keeping him.  Feels like this is gonna be a rough day.

69 Comments:

At 10:43 AM, Blogger Rich said...

If this happens one cannot reasonably absolve anyone. You take the check, it's on you.



One more time with feeling, they are not that good. Last year the Cubs were knocking on the door so they overpaid for Chapman. That's not this group

 
At 10:48 AM, Blogger Rich said...

And if you were going to be stupid and greedy, be stupid for Darvish. He's better

 
At 10:55 AM, Blogger Kalel9 said...

And a rental, and you throw good prospects after a rental. And by the way, they will boast about the years of control they get by trading for Gray.

 
At 10:57 AM, Blogger Rich said...

Definitely a rental (although they can sign them if they want to), but if you put a gun to my head forcing me to choose that's the direction I go in.

 
At 11:04 AM, Blogger Rich said...

Now I feel even stronger in my conviction


River Ave. Blues
River Ave. Blues @RiverAveBlues
Florial is pretty great, but if NYY can build a package around a kid with a 30% K rate in Low-A, it would be nearly impossible to pass up.

 
At 11:35 AM, Blogger Billy Martin said...

Love the farm but I'd trade Florial for Gray, especially if he's the main piece we're giving up.

If it does happen though, I think I'll need to stay away from here for a few days till you hooligans calm down :)

 
At 11:43 AM, Blogger Rich said...

Last week, we decided they must like Florial better than Rutherford. So now the idea is they didn't like either one of them.

 
At 11:45 AM, Anonymous yankyfan said...

Rather package up Mateo for Darvish.

 
At 11:56 AM, Blogger Rich said...

Keeping Darvish longer-term might also help them with Otani

 
At 11:57 AM, Blogger Mike in Mississippi said...

Phil made an excellent point: If you trade Florial, where is your outfield depth? Fowler just suffered a catastrophic injury and didn't have much plate discipline when he was healthy. Gardner and Ellsbury aren't long-term solutions. As much as I like what Hicks has become, he could start to get expensive if this isn't just some flash in the pan.

You have to keep Florial sans a bonafide stud coming back. He has a legit chance to stick in center, unlike Rutherford, and he's possibly your best prospect left with most of the top ones graduating.

 
At 12:01 PM, Blogger Rich said...

If they trade Florial, Mateo's position to centerfield.

If they were getting top quality players, I wouldn't mind so much. They haven't gotten any and wouldn't in this deal.

 
At 12:40 PM, Blogger Mike in Mississippi said...

Right. Gray makes sense from a team control aspect, but the guy's injury history is a big red flag, and he's not a bonified No. 1 right now. I just don't get the front office's supposed fascination.

 
At 12:48 PM, Blogger Rich said...

I think he is merely a means to an end. They appear to be drawing the line at prospects who are further away, and what they have gotten back and Gray are apparently what they will buy. The suits badly want to make the playoffs and Cashman and Girardi's contacts are expiring. That's a dangerous mix.

 
At 1:01 PM, Anonymous yankyfan said...

I am sure Mateo will be part of the deal for Gray

 
At 1:39 PM, Anonymous yankyfan said...

NY Post is stating Oakland likes Florial, Mateo AND Acevedo..

 
At 1:52 PM, Blogger Billy Martin said...

NY Post sure does love to state the obvious.

 
At 2:36 PM, Blogger Mike in Mississippi said...

At this point if it means holding onto Florial then fine, take the other two. Sad it's come to that, but it appears it has.

 
At 2:44 PM, Blogger Kalel9 said...

I don't see anything out there worth Florial or Mateo.

 
At 3:10 PM, Blogger Mike in Mississippi said...

A poster on RAB with an excellent point: "Just to be clear, after going through 5 injury plagued years with Pineda and 2 injury plagued years with Eovaldi, we want to give up three of our top prospects for a pitcher with a lot of injury baggage?"

 
At 3:35 PM, Blogger Rich said...

Insane.

 
At 3:41 PM, Blogger Mike in Mississippi said...

FWIW, Yankeesource on Twitter, who scouts Japan, thinks the Darvish-Otani stuff is overblown.

 
At 3:51 PM, Blogger Rich said...

They they reportedly told Det they won't take all of Verlander's contract so they can get under the luxury tax. So they aren't re/signing Yu if they got him

 
At 4:12 PM, Anonymous yankyfan said...

Looks like they are making progress towards a deal with Gray and Alonzo

 
At 4:21 PM, Blogger Rich said...

Anti-progress is the new progress.

 
At 4:42 PM, Anonymous yankyfan said...

This will hurt more than the CWS deal

 
At 4:56 PM, Blogger Rich said...

So great we got Todd Frazzled

 
At 4:57 PM, Blogger Rich said...

Autocorrect as artifacts intellectual

 
At 4:57 PM, Blogger Rich said...

Or something

 
At 6:00 PM, Blogger Mike in Mississippi said...

Really annoying that Girardi wouldn't let Montgomery finish the inning.

 
At 6:19 PM, Blogger Kalel9 said...

And overworks the pen every time he does something like that.

 
At 6:22 PM, Blogger Mike in Mississippi said...

Betances is destroying his value. They should trade him at the deadline.

 
At 6:55 PM, Blogger Rich said...

He is now making me long for Torre.

 
At 7:18 PM, Blogger Rich said...

1.5 GB. They will sell like Willy Loman.

 
At 4:45 AM, Blogger Rich said...

To that point, the New York Post has an article stating that although they're not willing to pay as high a price as they were for Quintana because of Gray's injuries issues, they are still willing to pay a high price just not as highbOakland wants. At least not yet.

Cashman's blind spot on pitching is what makes him a mediocre GM. Some very good moves some really bad ones.

But in New York if you trade for names they love you. Because New Yorkers want to win now, even if it means never winning

 
At 6:59 AM, Blogger Mike in Mississippi said...

Has Cashman ever acquired a starting pitcher via trade outside of Roger Clemens that worked out well for them? He has signed some very good ones (Mussina, Kuroda, Sabathia, Tanaka to name a few), but trading for pitching has been a weakness, which is why I'm wary of any starters he acquires.

 
At 7:35 AM, Blogger Billy Martin said...

2 best that come to mind, albeit not blockbusters, was Shawn Chacon & Brandon McCarthy..

Failed starters include Weaver (all the talent in the world) & Vazquez.

You can't look at a history and deduce that the GM will make a trade for a failed starter. New York is a different animal and some guys can handle the pressure where as others can't, case in point is Vazquez. Loved the trade but he sucked, what can you do.

I'm in the camp for wanting Gray but obviously it depends on the cost.

 
At 7:52 AM, Blogger Rich said...

What has changed now, or at least there is real hope that it has, is that after not developing any true front of the rotation starters under Cashman (with the possible exception of Wang, although tons of caveats there), he may finally be able to point to Sevy and Montgomery. We need a larger sample size for a true assessment.

That failure is what has spawned risky moves in free agency (Pavano) or trades (Pineda, Eovaldi), let alone the ones he publicly professed interest in but failed to get (Hamels, Dempter, etc).

That new found success is why risky trade are now so especially messed up.

Be freakin patient.

 
At 8:32 AM, Blogger Kalel9 said...

I'm in the camp of being patient and not going for it this year. I'm in favor of making up the starts with Smith and German.

 
At 9:14 AM, Blogger Mike in Mississippi said...

I'm fine with going for it depending on the deal. They're only one game back in the standings as of this writing, and they have a Wild Card spot right now.

The issue is with the player in particular. Pineda and Eovaldi were both injury riddled during their time in the Bronx, and now they want to trade top prospects for a guy with injury red flags? It just doesn't seem like the smart move, even when you factor the team control aspect of acquiring Gray (which, admittedly, is a fair point).

Although I've resigned myself to the idea that holding onto Florial would be a win no matter what else goes for Gray.

 
At 10:03 AM, Blogger Rich said...


If they trade Florial that "careful buyers" thing was Bubba Crosby will be the starting CF level bullshit but in the opposite way.

 
At 10:10 AM, Blogger Kalel9 said...

Jorge Mateo hit a grand slam a few minutes ago.

 
At 10:13 AM, Blogger Rich said...

Yu Darvish’s 10-team no-trade list, per sources: BAL, BOS, CHC, CLE, COL, CWS, DET, OAK, PIT, TOR. Free to go to LAD, NYY, HOU, all others.

 
At 10:22 AM, Blogger Rich said...

I would not trade Mateo either. If they do count on the fact that he'll be a player for 10-15 years and the player they get back will be on the DL most of that time if not retired.

Who's the future centerfielder that you can count on right now, Gardner? he's the one who should be traded.

 
At 10:26 AM, Blogger Kalel9 said...

I think Mateo and Florial both have a shot at being all stars and serious weapons.

 
At 11:28 AM, Blogger Mike in Mississippi said...

CDC -- can't demote Clint.

 
At 11:58 AM, Blogger Rich said...

Not if you're pretending to win this year.

 
At 12:10 PM, Blogger Rich said...

And hex even has a walk, which had been the one flaw in his game up here, although I attribute that to trying to impress

 
At 12:47 PM, Blogger Rich said...

Cessa isn't even replacement level

 
At 6:56 PM, Blogger Rich said...

Wha...

@anthonyfenech
Add another entrant into the Justin Wilson sweepstakes: The Yankees.

 
At 6:57 PM, Blogger Rich said...

Clint Frazier is 6-for-14 with 1 HR, 1 3B, 2 2B, 10 RBI and slugging .929 with RISP so far. -- @eboland11
via http://cbssportsapp.com

 
At 6:05 AM, Blogger Rich said...

This is a superficially smart sounding column that is actually quite stupid

http://nypost.com/2017/07/26/yankees-have-a-new-ace-and-reason-for-sonny-gray-restraint/amp/

 
At 12:33 PM, Blogger Mike in Mississippi said...

"The Yankees seem to have made their top four or five prospects off-limits. That is believed to include Clint Frazier (who’s up with the Yanks, and thriving), Gleyber Torres and Justus Sheffield. Estevan Florial is another guy the Yankees prefer not to trade."

I really hope this is true.

 
At 12:34 PM, Blogger Rich said...

Clint DHing

Tonight's lineup: Gardner 7 C Frazier dh judge 9 Sanchez 2 Gregorius 6 Headley 3 Ellsbury 8 T Frazier 5 Wade 4 sabathia 1 -- @eboland11
via http://cbssportsapp.com

 
At 3:53 PM, Blogger Rich said...

I would trade Hicks. Three good months out of an entire career. That would be trading high.

 
At 4:29 PM, Blogger Rich said...

They might have been forced into being sellers without Clint.

 
At 5:02 PM, Blogger Rich said...

Still the Sanchize?

 
At 6:28 PM, Blogger Rich said...

It's hard to see a one injury prone picture is going to compensate for the lack of depth in the rotation

 
At 7:17 PM, Blogger Kalel9 said...

They need to comeback in this game in the 9th, just to get it off Wade.

 
At 8:40 PM, Blogger Rich said...

Done.

 
At 3:31 AM, Anonymous yankyfan said...

So Oakland is looking for Torres or Frazier in a deal for Gray/Alonso?

WOW

 
At 6:07 AM, Blogger Rich said...

I don't want them for free.

 
At 6:29 AM, Blogger Rich said...

They are probably only asking for them to get every prospect they want below them.

I am no more willing to give up Florial, Mateo, and Acevedo. Like Rutherford, all are likely to be worth much much more in a year.

Cashman has the ability to walk away but pitching is his kryptonite in these situations.

 
At 7:06 AM, Blogger Billy Martin said...

If Mateo gets us Gray, you make that deal.

 
At 7:21 AM, Blogger Rich said...

I would only trade him for a pitcher with no injury issues, and even then it would be hard.

 
At 7:42 AM, Anonymous yankyfan said...

I would package up Mateo for Darvish.

 
At 7:49 AM, Blogger Billy Martin said...

Save for 2 good weeks after his promotion to AA, Mateo hasn't been good for over a year..

If he's the main piece, he's expendable in my eyes.

 
At 8:01 AM, Blogger Mike in Mississippi said...

If Mateo is the reason they don't trade Florial, then fine. Gray is a good pitcher who will help them win games — but it's not unreasonable to be wary of giving up valuable chips for someone coming off an injury-riddled 2016. One of those injuries was the dreaded forearm strain, so if he comes to NY and then has to have surgery, people will have every right to be upset about it. Pineda and Eovaldi are still fresh on everyone's minds.

 
At 8:09 AM, Blogger Rich said...

I agree that Darvish is much more appealing but it doesn't sound like he is being priced as a rental and it seems that Hal is determined to finally get under the lux tax, so in all likelihood he would be gone after this season.

We have had too many injury prone starters. That RAB post Mike referenced is spot on.

 
At 8:27 AM, Blogger Kalel9 said...

I would trade Mateo for a young ACE. I wouldn't trade him for Gray or the Darvish rental. Yanks got great by having the best talent and not giving it away.

 

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