A Month of Fundays

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Thursday, May 22, 2014

Yankees Draft: Some Initial Thoughts

The MLB Draft which will run from 6/5-6/7 is two weeks away.   You probably recall my pain as the Yanks traded their early picks for free agents this past winter.  It's going to be brutal at the start of the draft when their first pick doesn't come till number 56.   Not only does picking late like that take the top off of the talent pool, but it leads to smaller signing allotments.  So the Yanks can't really make up for their FA spree by signing bunches of signability kids.  The money just wouldn't be allowed, and with rumors flying that they will break the rules in IFA, this might not be the year to do it in the Draft, since, the penalty would once again be picks.   They probably don't want to face sanctions in both the Draft and IFA next year, though it would be emotionally satisfying this year.

So, anyway, the Yanks will probably go pretty college heavy early going, though their might be a prep or two in their first three picks.    They've actually been doing pretty well with drafting collegiate relievers, as we're already seeing at their MLB level, and I expect that to continue.  And they're also finally having some luck with college bats.

Before MLB attacked draft spending, it always made sense for the Yanks to go big and heavy for preps.  They never went as big or as heavy as they should have and now it's too late and their previous prep focus doesn't make as much sense.

We could talk about their failure to develop so many preps that they drafted, but they've changed a lot of personnel at the MLB team levels let's see how that turns out.  Cave and Bird look great.

So let's draft pitches with velo and/or swing and miss stuff , as well as both college and prep hitters with patience and pop.   We might want to get a little more left handed with arms and bats, but we'll see.  The players have to be there.

And then let's go for a huge talent infusion in IFA.  Btw, so far it seems like they're mostly going for bats in this year's IFA market.

15 Comments:

At 10:42 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

They are kind of in self-perpetuating, self-defeating cycle, loading up on older free agents while losing top picks that could replenish their existing and declining older players. Combine that with being bad at developing non-relievers, and it is obvious why they underperform their payroll advantage, almost every year.

Speaking of relievers, they may have a decision to make if they want to actually try to maximize their assets, for a change. They cannot let Robertson go for nothing, as they did with Cano, Granderson, and others.

And over time, they probably cannot keep both Robertson and Betances, because it's highly unlikely that they try make Betances a starter again.

So what do they do? Same old, same old, or as the old advertising line advised: Think Different.

 
At 10:46 AM, Blogger Kalel9 said...

They had three first rounders last year. So it's not a cycle.

And again, they've made changes in the development system so let's see how they play out before presuming things haven't been improved.

Going big in IFA this year is thinking differently.

 
At 10:47 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Oh and if you they are going to retain Robertson, try and get it done now. There is a very low probability that they will gain anything by waiting. It really should have been done during the offseason.

 
At 10:52 AM, Blogger Kalel9 said...

I wouldn't be surprised if they do something with Robertson during this season.

One thing they definitely should start doing is locking up the good ones for longer periods of time. That can be accomplished by figuring it out sooner and buying out their arb years with reasonable by lengthy contracts that expire at age 33 or so.

 
At 10:58 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The three first round picks stand out as anomalous given the way they do business.

We have no choice but to see how things turn out, but look at Sather, by comparison. Even though he has been anything but a top GM with the Rangers, under his tenure, they have drafted and developed a significant number of very good players. Cashman has no such record of success.

IFA spending is great, if late, but they are so young that their ability to contribute, even as trade chips is far off.

More specifically, Montero and Sanchez were/are the great hopes of IFA signings. One is gone, and the other may be blocked.

So I can only hope that they spend $250m a year on payroll, they can afford it. My point is that a better GM, for example, would have signed Choo, not Beltran, or may have traded Swisher with one year left on his contract since they knew they wouldn't be re-signing him.

Anyway, good discussion. Thanks.

 
At 11:20 AM, Blogger Kalel9 said...

As you know, I have always wanted Choo on the Yanks, and only wanted Beltran years ago when it made sense.

I do like that they extended Gardner at a traceable rate.

It is too much of a mixed bag, though.

The Rangers are lucky to have Gorton and Clark. And Schoeny runs the farm, where they put pressure on the coaches to develop guys and guys are developing.

 
At 1:55 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Bryce Montes de Oca

 
At 4:24 PM, Blogger Mike in Mississippi said...

Not to deflect blame from Cashman, who deserves his fair share of criticism, but as I said in a previous thread, it has been obvious for several years that what really needs to happen is for the major league team to have several rebuilding years to replenish the farm with high-end draft picks and let some of these bad contracts expire.

The problem is the powers-that-be would never agree to that, as it would cost money to put a losing product on the field. What they fail to realize, however, is by continuing to try the "band-aid fix" with this team, the final product is going to keep being mediocre, at best.

Given the developmental problems that are well-documented, I have my doubts that Cashman would be the right person to man a total rebuild. But he, or someone else, at least needs to be given that chance.

 
At 4:28 PM, Blogger Kalel9 said...

And the problem with that is that ownership will hire the GM candidate that promises the fastest results, and he'll come in and trade the farm.

 
At 6:53 PM, Blogger Mike in Mississippi said...

That, or they'll just shout down the hall and say, "Hey, who here can run this team?"

 
At 9:14 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

A similar argument was used to keep Torre long past his sell-by date. Cashman just isn't that good. He has been here too long, and he has turned into a jerk, trolling fans by saying things like fans say they hate HR when no one really said that; it was just about wanting multi-dimensional hitters instead of "big hairy monsters (how weird is that phrase). And he is the guy who keeps saying that pitching holds the keys to the kingdom, which is demoonstrably false. It's time for fresh eyes.

 
At 9:28 PM, Blogger Kalel9 said...

I agree he's gotten weird and we could use fresh eyes. I'd like to see Damon Oppenheimer replace him, if he would want to leave scouting. I don't really know any other viable candidates.

 
At 9:37 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

My personal choices, probably a fantasy, are Andrew Friedman or Dave Dombrowski.

Mike Axisa at RAB thinks that Cashman will be promoted to president and Eppler will become the GM.

I would rather have Isiah Thomas run the team.

 
At 10:07 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

They can do one thing to improve the roster today: Ramirez for Aceves.

 
At 10:22 AM, Blogger Kalel9 said...

Absolutely.

 

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